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Feb 12, 2007 - Issue #045

Ultimate Sellout!

Dow score card for the week ending 2/9/07.

DJ-30: 12580.83 -72.66 -0.57%. In the Real World: 52.35 -0.30 -0.57%.

UP: 8 (-17), Down: 22 (+17).

Trends (weekly): This is the subjective part.

Rising 16 (+2):

AA, BA, +*C, +*DD, DIS, +*GM, HON, JPM, KO, MO, PG, T, UTX, VZ, WMT, XOM.

Consolidating 13 (-2):


Declining 1 (n/c):


+/- denotes change of direction.

* denotes change of category.

Ultimate Sellout!

Don't listen to what they say... Watch what they do!

If ever there was a signal that the "smart money" was cashing in, surely the debut of the Fortress Investment Group (FIG) IPO has got to be it.

Until now, the ultimate money-making machine on Wall Street was to run your own hedge fund management company. Where else could you charge 2% of assets under management plus 20% of net profits? With no risk. And no SEC interference. Talk about the goose that lays golden eggs! Why would you ever want to give that up???

Why, indeed!

Something stinks. No one ever lets the public in on a good thing. The public is only invited in whenever suckers are needed to be left holding the bag.

Sounds have been emanating, if you've been attuned, for some time that all is not well in hedge fund land.

CNBC-TV has treated us to examples of outright fraud and incompetence in the area of "alternative" investments (read hedge funds) and "accredited" investors wanting their money back (Ha! Good luck with that!) for some time now.

So it should come as no surprise that since it is no longer the "licence to print money" that it once was, the time is ripe to rape, pillage and plunder the public.

Meanwhile, what's going on inside the Dow?

According to the weekly trend classifications, 16-1 rising vs. declining. Looks pretty strong, doesn't it? However, note 22 of 30 were lower on the week.

Run the same analysis on the daily charts and things look considerably worse: 5 rising, 15 consolidating, and 10 declining. Friday showed only 4 up vs. 26 down. GM rose 9.15% for the week, 73% of that on Friday alone. Could GM be masking a lot of weakness in the rest of the list? I get the feeling that the line of least resistance is about to be down, big time, perhaps as early as Monday morning.

Comments? Ideas? Feedback? Let me have it, right between the eyes! I'd love to hear from you. Just reply to this zine and tell me what you think!

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