Sep 26, 2011 - Issue #286
Is It Over or Just Beginning?
Is it over or just beginning?. Good question. Implied-Volatility is high (indicating high anxiety). Markets
have already taken a big hit. What next?
CNBC guest analyst opinions are, as usual, all over the place (no surprises there).
Ron Ianieri (IONOPTIONS) mentoring sessions are underway. So far, we've learned what news items to pay attention
to and what to ignore. To say looking at the market through the eyes of a professional in real time is
enlightening is an understatement of immense magnitude. To appreciate it, you simply have to be there.
The Creature from Jekyll Island (A Second Look at the Federal Reserve), by G. Edward Griffin, is one of the
scariest books ever written. Sir Winston Churchhill once said, "In time of war, truth is so precious that it
must be protected by a bodyguard of lies." And the truth is war, in one form or another, is a constant.
Countdown till 2012 elections: 58 weeks.
W. D. Gann, a keen market observer, although not an astronomer, nevertheless, was fascinated by the apparent
coincidence of important market 'pivot points' and astronomical dates. Theories exist for estimating time and
price of important market turning points but astronomical occurrences are computed with mathematical certainty.
There is no logical reason why these occurrences should coincide yet, empirically, they have.
The 'Full Moon' and 'New Moon', among others, have been cited. Therefore, one might be well advised to be aware
of their occurrence. Note: The first 5 business days of 2008 concluded on a 'New Moon' and we all know how that
worked out. Coincidence?
9/12 Monday - Full Moon
9/27 Tuesday - New Moon
During the next two weeks, the following DJ-30 components report earnings. Keep a sharp eye out for possible
price swings leading up to 'earnings day' (Subject to revision):
Dow score card for the week ending 9/23/11.
DJ-30: 10771.48 -737.61 -6.41%. The Real World (arithmetical) DJ-30: 47.44 -3.25 -6.41%.
UP: 1, Down: 29.
Trends (weekly charts): This is the subjective part.
Rising (Generally Higher Highs/Higher Lows) 1 (-6) 3%:
Consolidating (Generally Lower Highs/Higher Lows) 8 (-15) 27%:
GE, -*HD, IBM, MCD, -*MSFT, T, TRV, -*VZ.
Declining (Generally Lower Highs/Lower Lows) 21 (+21) 70%:
-*AA, -*AXP, -*BA, -*BAC, -*CAT, -*CSCO, -*CVX, -*DD, -*DIS, -*HPQ, -*JNJ, -*JPM, -*KFT, -*KO, -*MMM, -*MRK,
-*PFE, -*PG, -*UTX, -*WMT, -*XOM.
+/- denotes change of direction.
* denotes change of category.
Comments? Ideas? Feedback? Let me have it, right between the eyes! I'd love to hear from you. Just reply to this zine and tell me what you think!