Dec 28, 2009 - Issue #195
200ma on chart after chart is rolling over. Have you ever seen anything more ominous?
The weakest DJ-30 component, based on Relative Strength 1-Yr (vs SP-500), is XOM despite oil rising recently.
Volatility indexes are at the lowest levels in over a year which is indicative of market tops.
An old Wall Street adage, 'As goes the 1st week of January, so goes the month. As goes the month, so goes the
Also, years ending in '0' have a history of negative results. 2010 will be very interesting.
W. D. Gann, a keen market observer, although not an astronomer, nevertheless, was
fascinated by the apparent coincidence of important market 'pivot points' and astronomical
dates. Theories exist for estimating time and price of important market turning points but
astronomical occurrences are computed with mathematical certainty.
There is no logical reason why these occurrences should coincide yet, empirically, they
have. The 'Full Moon' and 'New Moon', among others, have been cited. Therefore, one might
be well advised to be aware of their occurrence. Note: The first 5 business days of 2008
concluded on a 'New Moon' and we all know how that worked out. Coincidence?
12/31 Thursday - Full Moon (Blue Moon).
During the next two weeks, the following DJ-30 components report earnings. Keep a sharp eye
out for possible price swings leading up to 'earnings day' (Subject to revision):
Dow score card for the week ending 12/24/09.
DJ-30: 10520.10 +191.21 +1.85%. The Real World (arithmetical) DJ-30: 46.40 +0.84 +1.84%.
UP: 27, Down: 3.
Trends (weekly charts): This is the subjective part.
Rising (Generally Higher Highs/Higher Lows) 6 (N/C) 20%:
+*AA, HD, HPQ, +*IBM, +*KFT, MSFT.
Consolidating (Generally Lower Highs/Higher Lows) 23 (+7) 77%:
AXP, BA, +*BAC, +*CAT, CSCO, CVX, DD, -*DIS, GE, INTC, JNJ, +*JPM, +*KO, MCD, MMM, -*MRK, PFE, T, +*TRV, -*UTX,
VZ, +*WMT, +*XOM.
Declining (Generally Lower Highs/Lower Lows) 1 (-7) 3%:
+/- denotes change of direction.
* denotes change of category.
Comments? Ideas? Feedback? Let me have it, right between the eyes! I'd love to hear from you. Just reply to this zine and tell me what you think!