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The Inner Circle, Issue #540 - Election year and the stock market
August 28, 2016
Election year and the stock market
FROM: Election year and the stock market.
Stocks rise until they meet resistance then reverse until they find support.
Cisco Systems (CSCO):
MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology algorithm currently ranks CSCO Primary (monthly) Trend 'UP'.
Week ending 8/26 CSCO closed 31.35 +2.72% (Yield: 3.32%) 7th highest yielding among the DJ-30.
CSCO is currently among the 10 highest yielding DJ-30 'Dow Dogs'.
CSCO is currently among the 5 lowest priced/highest yielding DJ-30 'Dow Small Dogs'.
CSCO key primary support algorithm to watch: 5/6 low 25.81 (lowest low - last 3 mo).
CSCO recent support algorithm to watch: 8/18 low 30.06 (lowest low - last 3 wks).
CSCO has found support at the 8/18 low 30.06 (IMO).
CSCO currently above both the 50 sma and the 200 sma on the daily chart (Favorable).
CSCO currently above both the 50 sma and the 200 sma on the weekly chart (Favorable).
CSCO currently above both the 50 sma and the 200 sma on the monthly chart (Favorable).
Current upside target on the weekly chart: 30.73 (* = change). (7/22 Target exceeded!).
Current upside target on the monthly chart: 32.55 (* = change).
Symmetrical Triangle Info:
NOTE: If the 8/26 high, 31.66, also turns out to be the pivot point high on the weekly chart, a reasonable (IMO) downside target would then be 29.38 (-6.28% from here).
NOTE: IF the 8/26 high, 31.66, also turns out to be the pivot point high on the monthly chart, a reasonable (IMO) downside target would then be 23.81 (-24.05%) from here.
NOTE: The 26 area appears to be an important historical horizontal line (IMO).
Earnings: 5 yr avg EPS: 1.76. (ttm) EPS: 2.11. Current P/E: 14.86. Forward P/E: 12.91.
Est Avg Yr EPS: 2.43. Est Yr High EPS: 2.55. Est Yr Low EPS: 2.34 (per analysts).
Next Qtr Est Avg EPS: 0.59. Est High EPS: 0.64. Est Low EPS: 0.58. Prior Qtr EPS: 0.56.
Next earnings date: 11/17/16.
The combination of low price/high yield + support at the 50 & 200 sma (weekly charts) = opportunity in the intermediate term (IMO).
Whether you buy stock, protect with puts (& collect dividends) or buy calls, puts, or do debit/credit spreads, straddles/strangles, or combinations, ("combo's", my personal favorite), whatever suits your trading style, a limited risk/high reward position can be constructed.
Each strategy has its own follow-up tactics, depending on how it plays out.
NOTE: CSCO is the leading company in cyber security; we are constantly under cyber attack.
Comments? Ideas? Feedback? Let me have it, right between the eyes! I'd love to hear from you. Just reply to this zine and tell me what you think!
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