Dynamic Stock Market Strategies Blog
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Jul 21, 2008, Dark Knight!
Dark Knight! Where are you when we need you??? Don't we have enough Joker's to deal with?
CNBC, perhaps, could pursuade the caped crusader, or a reasonable facimile thereof,
(millionaire Bruce Wayne???) to come to our rescue in our dire moment of need with
some prudent just-in-time financial wisdom.
Perhaps the market's bounce this past week was in anticipation of what turned out to be
the biggest box office bonanza in history.
Which begs the question: Is this a playable bounce? Going long SPY and DIA or writing
the front month Puts to take advantage of the high volatility? MRK has just put in a
'pennant' formation that looks like a coiled spring ready to uncoil. Will the move be
a continuation of the down trend or a reversal to the upside? The stock hasn't seen
these prices since '06.
Dow score card for the week ending 7/18/08.
DJ-30: 11496.57 +396.03 +3.57%. The Real World (arithmetical) DJ-30: 47.07 +1.63 +3.58%.
UP: 25, Down: 5.
Trends (weekly charts): This is the subjective part.
Rising (Generally Higher Highs/Higher Lows) 6 (+4) 20%:
+*C, +*IBM, JNJ, +*JPM, +*MCD, +*PG.
Consolidating (Generally Lower Highs/Higher Lows) 20 (+9) 67%:
AA, +*AIG, +*AXP, +*BA, +*BAC, +*CAT, +*DD, +*DIS, GE, +*GM, +*HD, +*HPQ, +*INTC, MMM,
MRK, +*MSFT, -*PFE, UTX, VZ, WMT.
Declining (Generally Lower Highs/Lower Lows) 4 (-13) 13%:
CVX, KO, -*T, XOM.
+/- denotes change of direction.
* denotes change of category.
INO's Profit Program - Make Money!
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Jul 18, 2008, Is Crude Oil Move Over?
See what MarketClub members were able to see 'live' as it was happening?
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Jul 18, 2008, Gold Move Over?
See what MarketClub members were able to view 'live' as it was happening.
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Jul 15, 2008, TWIN DISASTERS
Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.
No love for these two stocks.
Even after Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson made a statement
ensuring that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would remain as presently
constituted to carry out their mission it was not enough to
satisfy most investors.
Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac hold about $5 trillion worth of
mortgage guarantees in this country, roughly about half of the
9.5 trillion mortgage debt. Their survival is paramount.
The trouble with these two companies is the latest depressing
factor in the current credit and confidence crisis that the
United States is going through at the present time. This type
of negative information is depressing for stocks and weighs on
the minds of investors. This type of mindset is similar to the
early seventies when we witnessed the last prolonged bear market.
There are no quick fixes to our current set of problems, only
trading opportunities.
We live in a capitalist society and these are the cycles that
we go through every 30 to 40 years. This is the price we pay for
living in a free society.
My new eight minute video shows in detail how easy it is to
avoid disaster stocks like Freddie and Fannie. I also show you
in very clear terms how to fortress your portfolio to withstand
any type of financial tornado that blows through the world economy.
Enjoy the video,
Adam Hewison
Click for more info
Jul 14, 2008, War Clouds?
War Clouds? Iran fires off missles and guess what happens to oil? And, of course, stocks
drop!
Earnings season is upon us, once again. Expectedly, retailers tank. A bank fails. All
in a weeks work for a bear market.
CNBC's crew queries guest after guest with, 'Where should we put money now?' The only
good response is cash. 'Are we on the bottom?' Response, 'If you have to ask, it's not
the bottom.' And so it went. Oppenheimer's technical analyst, Carter Worth, suggested
what we need is '300 points down, followed by 30 points up, followed by another 300
points down, followed by 30 points up, then another 300 points down until the bottom is
finally reached.'
When a stock is beaten down to the point where it looks attractive to buy, volatility is
probably high causing Put options to be an expensive form of protection. Average True
Range (ATR) is high. A bar with a large 'bottoming tail' can indicate a significant
bottom. Under such circumstances, it is usually good form to reduce the size of your
normal trading unit when initially acquiring a long position in case you have to bail.
Your objective is to establish a 'beachhead' from which you can gradually increase your
position if the stock advances from there.
Important market bottoms are not usually of the V-shape variety. Rather, a sideways
movement (consolidation) of some duration takes place (the longer, the better) before
the next advance.
Study charts of past important lows to see what they looked like. Future lows should look
similar.
Dow score card for the week ending 7/11/08.
DJ-30: 11100.54 -188.00 -1.67%. The Real World (arithmetical) DJ-30: 45.44 -0.78 -1.67%.
UP: 6, Down: 23, N/C: 1.
Trends (weekly charts): This is the subjective part.
Rising (Generally Higher Highs/Higher Lows) 2 (+1) 7%:
+*JNJ, +*PFE.
Consolidating (Generally Lower Highs/Higher Lows) 11 (N/C) 37%:
+*AA, GE, +*IBM, MCD, +*MMM, -*MRK, PG, +*T, +*UTX, VZ, WMT.
Declining (Generally Lower Highs/Lower Lows) 17 (-1) 57%:
AIG, -*AXP, BA, BAC, C, CAT, -*CVX, DD, DIS, GM, HD, HPQ, INTC, -*JPM, KO, MSFT, -*XOM.
+/- denotes change of direction.
* denotes change of category.
INO's Profit Program - Make Money!
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Jul 11, 2008, Exciting new alert service announced by MarketClub
Missing key market signals can spell disaster for your trades. Fortunately, you never have to miss a market signal again.
Now a revolutionary new technical tool, MarketClub Alerts, makes it easier than ever to catch market moves as they occur instead of after the fact.
Previously, this type of technology was available only to hedge fund kings with billions of dollars at their disposal. But not anymore. MarketClub Alerts now levels the playing field. It allows you to track your favorite markets in your portfolio as often as every ten minutes. Simply choose your Alert preferences and you'll be notified via email on computer or smartphone, according to the criteria you set.
The SmartScan technology behind MarketClub Alerts is simple in principle, but it took some of the best programming brains in the business years to bring it to fruition. Every few seconds, our proprietary SmartScan technology springs into action and scans over 250,000 symbols. Stocks, futures, ETFs, mutual funds, forex, and precious metals...our proprietary technology scans them all. Then, according to your personal specifications, the Alert system computes your data and delivers it to your email inbox or smartphone. Whether you like to be notified every ten minutes, half hour, hour, daily, weekly, or only once, the Alerts delivers the information you need when you need it.
MarketClubgives you far more than just Alerts, however. Thousands of traders and investors depend on MarketClub every day. Members have full access to Trade Triangles, a proprietary technology that visually identifies clear entry and exit signals for potential positive trades. Membership also includes SmartScan, which allows traders to identify trend patterns on over 250,000 symbols. Members can also customize their own charts with over 23 well-known technical studies. There's also the MarketClub Trader's Blog, updated six days a week with cutting edge commentary, trading tips and techniques, and more. Trade School has online streaming seminars, and Data Central allows members to download historical data on over 250,000 symbols from 21 exchanges.
There's a reason why MarketClub, whose membership includes thousands of individual traders and industry professionals from all over the world, is one of the fastest growing technical and educational services on the web for traders. No other web-based service gives you so much power for so little money.
Trying out MarketClub Alerts...along with all the benefits that MarketClub has to offer...is without risk for 30 days. If you try MarketClub and aren't happy for any reason, simply call to cancel within 30 days for a total refund. I encourage you to go ahead and give it a try. I know you'll be just as excited about this breakthrough technology as I am.
Watch the new video on the Alerts service now.
Wishing you trading success,
Adam Hewison
Click for more info
Jul 10, 2008, Is This Kool or What?
Check it!
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Jul 7, 2008, Energy Peaked?
Energy Peaked? Could be. CNBC take note. What is the evidence?
(1) Pathetic rise in the price of crude oil, this week.
(2) Energy stocks, in my judgement, are demonstrating signs of peaking across the board.
(3) Airlines have grounded large portions of their fleets because of increased cost of
fuel.
(4) Retail gasoline prices, for the first time in history, in response to decreased
holiday travel have not increased at the pump.
(5) Consumer and investor confidence, apparently, 'sucks'.
Does that mean stocks are a 'buy'? Maybe. If your time horizon, as an investor is far
enough out.
There has been so much damage to portfolios that, even if we were on 'bottom' (there is
no evidence of that), it will take much time for that to sink in to the market
participants psyche. This 'bear' may be just getting started.
Let's face it, the consumer is tapped out. Employment is down, according to the latest
figures. Housing and credit are in chaos. More subprime 'toxic waste' write-offs are
expected.
The political and taxation outlook is ominous. Democrats have admitted they plan to
nationalize the oil industry à la Venezuela's Chavez. An Obama win will guarantee that
future Supreme Court appointees will be activist 'liberal' judges, once again. National
Health Care will cover all illegal immigrants thereby raising costs and decreasing
service for legal citizens. Government bureaucrats will override our physicians à la
Hillary Clinton.
Becareful what you wish for, America.
Dow score card for the week ending 7/3/08.
DJ-30: 11288.54 -57.97 -0.51%. The Real World (arithmetical) DJ-30: 46.22 -0.23 -0.51%.
UP: 12, Down: 18.
Trends (weekly charts): This is the subjective part.
Rising (Generally Higher Highs/Higher Lows) 1 (+1) 3%:
+*MRK.
Consolidating (Generally Lower Highs/Higher Lows) 11 (+6) 37%:
+*AXP, CVX, +*GE, +*JNJ, +*JPM, +*MCD, +*PFE, +*PG, +*VZ, WMT, XOM.
Declining (Generally Lower Highs/Lower Lows) 18 (-7) 60%:
AA, AIG, BA, BAC, C, CAT, DD, DIS, GM, HD, HPQ, IBM, INTC, KO, MMM, -*MSFT, T, UTX.
+/- denotes change of direction.
* denotes change of category.
INO's Profit Program - Make Money!
Click for more info
Jun 25, 2008, 3 Markets That Will Change Everything in the Next 6 Months!
Every once in a while, something happens that changes everything.
Check it ...
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Jun 17, 2008, Gann Forecasting Tool
Let's look at September Lumber. The recent low that stands out was 251.60 which happened on 4/24/08. I round off the price to 252 and enter the price and date into the Gann section of my Price and Time software. Below are the exported results:
Gann Analysis
Project Name: September Lumber.
Input Values
------------.
Price: 252.
Date : 04/24/2008.
Results
-------
Potential High Prices
---------------------.
Price1: 261.
Price2: 268.
Price3: 277.
Price4: 284.
Price5: 294.
Price6: 301.
Price7: 312.
Price8: 319.
Potential Low Prices
--------------------.
Price1: 245.
Price2: 236.
Price3: 229.
Price4: 221.
Price5: 215.
Price6: 207.
Price7: 201.
Price8: 193.
Potential Dates
---------------.
Date1: 06/09/2008.
Date2: 07/25/2008.
Date3: 09/10/2008.
Date4: 10/25/2008.
Date5: 12/09/2008.
Date6: 01/23/2009.
Date7: 03/09/2009.
Date8: 04/24/2009.
Notes
-----.
When price and time meet, we have a potential reversal point in the market. Price and time meeting will happen when any potential price occurs on any of the potential dates.
Click for more info
Jun 15, 2008, Get all 7 Whiteboard videos here!
The response to the Traders Whiteboard videos has been overwhelming for the thousands of viewers who have taken advantage of the content held within.
They cover topics ranging from chart stops to money management and patterns to new elements that are driving todays markets. The videos are all found on the same page and cost nothing for you to watch and learn from the content.
All my best,
Adam Hewison
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Jun 9, 2008, Trader's Whiteboard Lesson #8 - 5 Keys
In this edition of Traders Whiteboard, we will be looking at five key components that you need to be successful in your trading. The ones we have picked out today are not on every pro trader's suggested list, so I think they will be a surprise to you.
We consider these five components to be incredibly important to anyone's trading success, most of all yours.
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Jun 5, 2008, How to turn a $99 investment into a lifetime of trading success
Learning by experience can be costly, especially in the financial markets. Fortunately, there are shortcuts. "I've changed from losing money to consistently making a profit," says Paul, a trader from Illinois. "I've learned techniques that really have made a big difference in my trading." He credits INO TV's streaming educational videos and audios for his success. INO TV is a division of INO.com, a pioneer in the web-based delivery of financial information since 1995.
Traders of all levels will appreciate INO TV's online digital library of video and audio seminars, the largest and most comprehensive collection of trader and investor seminars available anywhere today. INO TV's seminars-currently numbered at 547 with more being added all the time - present time-tested theories, techniques, and strategies from over 150 master traders. INO TVgives traders an easy and convenient way to improve their skills, confidence, and returns.
Traders say online seminars are more convenient, less costly
Compared to the high price tag of live seminars, INO TV's annual membership fee of 99.95 (or 49.95 for three months) is a bargain. While many traders find the live atmosphere of seminars enjoyable, others find that the registration fees, travel expenses, and other charges are cost prohibitive. Dean, a trader in the UK, is one of the latter. The live seminar he attended, which cost him 7,500, failed to meet his expectations. "I should have avoided going to the actual seminar," he says. "What I learned through the online videos was more than what they were giving me at the seminars." Dean says that the knowledge he acquired in a single month of viewing INO TV online would have cost him about 24,000 in seminar fees.
It's not just the cost that makes INO TV so attractive to traders. It's also the convenience. Dirk, a financial writer and seminar instructor in the Netherlands who'sbeen an active trader for over a decade, elaborates. "I was invited by my broker to attend a seminar on futures. For me, coming from a small village near Amsterdam, that would be a time consuming and high-priced event," he explains. "It is far more convenient to watch a video online. Watching them at any convenient time and seeing them again and again brings a trader far more value while being very time efficient."
Anyone with a computer and a high-speed internet connection can take advantage of INO TV's digital seminar collection. The on-demand streaming seminars feature some of the world's top experts, whose ranks include trading systems pioneers, trading contest champions, authors, trading coaches, and real floor traders. Many of the seminars come with detailed downloadable workbooks. INO TV's digital library of trading seminars is the most extensive collection available online, and these seminars are not available anywhere else. Members can watch and listen to as many seminars as they want, as often as they want, for one low membership fee. A 3-month membership is just 49.95, and an annual membership just 99.95. To learn more simply visit the education page below:
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Jun 3, 2008, New Educational Trading Seminars - Part I
Here's your chance to tap into the world's most comprehensive "brain trust" of market experts - right from the comfort of your own home - and watch your trading results skyrocket!
INO TV is the first collection of its kind ever made available to the public. This extensive library of trading seminars features 154 expert wealth builders on 547 streaming video and audio seminars. Each seminar is a step-by-step trading course that will show you how to generate a consistent approach in every market, using tested and proven techniques to create massive amounts of wealth.
INO TV is the only way for you to experience an actual trading seminar without the hassle of traveling far away from home, and without spending thousands of dollars for seminar and travel costs. You'll learn from more trading experts, at a far lower cost, than you ever would have thought possible. In fact, it's even better - because with an INO TV seminar, you can hit pause, rewind, and replay as often as you like!
Bringing the experts to your door is as easy as 1-2-3.
The information contained in our seminars is a compilation of the exact strategies and skill sets that some of the world's most brilliant money masters have used over the course of their trading careers. They've tested their techniques, made the obvious and not-so-obvious mistakes, and refined and perfected their approaches to create their own personal fortunes. Instead of losing money by making your own costly mistakes, you can leverage the learning curves of the experts.
It's like having your own private council of coaches give you all the shortcuts to success!
Click for more info
Jun 3, 2008, New Educational Trading Seminars - Part II
Here's Just A Small Glimpse Of What Our Experts Can Show You:
- How to spot and take advantage of moves that you can forecast years in advance.
- How to spot options trades that have a 95% chance of success.
- How to use professional money management techniques to lock in profits and cut losses to the core.
- How to experience in one year what it is like to make one million dollars. (One of our experts did just that and he will show you how he achieved that milestone and what it took to do it.)
The INO TV seminar series is the most comprehensive repository of trading information available anywhere today. And because we own all the copyrights, you'll have a difficult or impossible time finding these materials anywhere else.
INO TV is for you if:
- You believe that correct knowledge is essential to building your own personal fortune.
- You want to find a trading approach that works with your personality instead of against it.
- You're interested in a more systematic, reliable, and stress-free approach to trading.
- You want to profit from the same proven strategies that have made other traders wealthy.
- You want to make learning as efficient and as cost-effective as possible.
I urge you to take just a few minutes right now to learn more about INO TV. You'll get a sneak peek at some of the experts who are featured in our seminar collection. Most of all, you'll learn how INO TV can help you to bring in more trading profits, more quickly and more consistently than ever before.
Here's to your best trading year ever,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
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May 25, 2008, Way of the Turtle
Way of the Turtle...Secret Trading Methods of the Legendary Traders
Permalink -- click for full blog post
May 16, 2008, How to finally spot those winning trades...
I am often asked how I find winning trades in the market. I can easily answer that question in one word: MarketClub. Just like the thousands of other MarketClub members, I use our "Trade Triangle" technology every day to spot stocks, futures, precious metals and foreign exchange markets that are ready to move.
In this new video, I'm going to show you exactly how to find potential winning trades using our "Trade Triangle" technology.
This short video will get to the point quickly. That's what I most like about MarketClub, it's fast, and our "Trade Triangle" technology is definitely a winner with investors. The website shows me quickly and easily what markets are ready to move with only a few clicks of a mouse.
Take the time, watch the video, and if you have any questions you can call us or find more information and videos at MarketClub.com. Enjoy the above video and give us your feedback when you have a chance.
Also here's a very special personal message from me that's 32 seconds long...but really shows how I feel about my viewers.
http://www.ino.com/info/213/CD156/&dp=0&l=0&campaignid=3
Enjoy,
Adam Hewison Co-founder MarketClub.com
Click for more info
May 5, 2008, Price & Time Trading Software
Attention Fibonacci and W. D. Gann devotees...
What an incredibly affordable, practical, and easy to use software trading tool this is.
If you've ever thought of applying Gann's 'Square of Nine' concept of combining price and time to your trading, rather than price alone, but gave up because you thought it too complicated, you need to see this.
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May 1, 2008, Warehouse Spring Cleaning Sale!!!
From Our Bookstore...
Free Shipping on Orders over $69
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Apr 24, 2008, Drink one less coffee a week and receive the trading education of a lifetime!
It's here, it's finally here.
Without a doubt this is the fastest, easiest way to propel your trading results to new levels. All from the comfort of your home or office.
Announcing INO TV...
Now you can view trading seminars from the comfort of your home, or in the office or anywhere else there is a high-speed internet connection. I just finished watching a seminar on exit strategies given by market expert, Chuck LeBeau while I was sitting at a local coffee shop.
But wait it gets better...
Here's what you get:
* 11 Channels ... countless opportunities.
* Unlimited 24/7 worldwide instant access.
* Over 154 online experts and counting.
* Over 413 online seminar workbooks.
* Over 547 online trading seminars and counting.
* Over 1,000 hours of valuable online trading material.
Here’s how you will benefit:
* 11 Channels ... countless opportunities.
* Learn at your own pace.
* Easy listening and learning style.
* You will be learning a valuable lifetime skill.
* It's available now and it’s worldwide.
Look what Randy in Hawaii had to say about the service.
"I usually try to catch an idea or two from the usual 'seminar' presentation. But with your service, I can go back and get every pearl, every tip, every bit of experience and knowledge presented from the viewing."
"The time saved, the costs saved, the knowledge packed away from respected mentors -- best return on investment I've made in a while!"
Randy W
Honolulu, Hawaii
I'll make no bones about it ... we want your business, but not for the reasons you might think. We want to see you benefit first and foremost from INO TV ... that is our greatest reward and one which far exceeds the minor cost of the service.
Like we said earlier, drink one less coffee a week and receive the trading education of a lifetime. It will pay for itself many times over.
From: The INO TV Team.
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Apr 11, 2008, We shocked ourselves with these results!!! - Part II
Continued from Part I...
Now as to the FUNDS of FUNDS concept...
I have always thought this was a dorky idea which puts another layer of fees on top of another layer of fees. The basic FUNDS of FUNDS concept is to reduce risk through diversification (a good thing) and increase profitability. Unfortunately, when you reduce risk like the FUNDS of FUNDS you reduce profitability.
So with that in mind, I took the time and waded through the 300 FUNDS OF FUNDS data and found that the Merriwell Fund was the top performer with a 39.28% in the past 12 month period.
Good, but no cigar. MarketClub's "Trade Triangles" were still in the poll position.
Also buried on page M54 of BARRON'S, I found the results of the top 200 Commodity Trading Advisors. Now this is more like it as these guys are smart, very smart and usually outperform the hedge funds and the FUNDS of FUNDS.
I was right! The top performing CTA was a commodity pool named AIS Futures MAAP (3x-6x) Composite with a return of 142.93%. Now this is a great performance and one of only two CTAs to crack triple digit returns in the past 12 months.
So there you have it. The best of the best in all three categories and they all came in short of MarketClub!
I was shocked, absolutely shocked as I thought everybody was doing extraordinarily well during this huge run-up in commodity prices.
MarketClub's "Trade Triangle" approach far exceeded the biggest gains of the 2000 top hedge funds. Far exceeded the gains of 300 of the biggest FUNDS of FUNDS. Lastly, it outperformed 200 of the top Commodity Trading Advisors in the world!
Now you can see why I am in shock.
See how we managed to generate signals that show a return of 243% over past nine months. I think you'll be surprised at just how simple this approach is, and how you too can become the master of your own fate and stop paying fees to advisors.
I can't promise that you’ll make 243%. In fact, I can't guarantee that you’ll make any money. Not even the best hedge fund and FUNDS of FUNDS can do that.
The bigger the risk the bigger the return. That's how it's been since the beginning of time and that equation is never going to change.
I've just finished a very short video that shows how we managed to have such great returns. The video we put together is in theater style so you can watch the whole show or watch the results of individual returns.
You can check it out today. There is no charge and there's no registration required.
If it all makes logical sense to you, then you’ll know what to do next.
Here's to your best trading year ever!
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
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Apr 11, 2008, We shocked ourselves with these results!!! - Part I
Last week we revealed the results of our Q1 "Trade Triangle" signals. Judging by the early feedback we've received, it seems like many of our members were delighted with their returns.
Last weekend I had some time to catch up on my reading, so I picked up a copy of BARRON'S newspaper (March 31st). I had purchased the paper two weeks ago because of an article on the commodities run-up entitled, "Guess Who's Behind The Commodities Boom." You may have seen and read the article.
If you still have the paper you will be able to independently confirm what I am going to share with you now.
After I read the article on commodities, I started thumbing through the rest of BARRON'S and happened to run across the trading results of 2000 of the largest hedge funds in the world.
I said to myself that these hedge funds must've done extraordinarily well during the last 12 months. So for fun I started searching through their results for triple digit returns.
What shocked me was that over the last nine months, MarketClub's "Trade Triangle" results far exceeded the results of the top 2000 hedge funds in the world and not by one or two percentage points either.
The best return I could find by any hedge fund in the last 12 months was 217.33% and that was by the Balestra Capital Partners, LP. That's a great return, but we managed to do better than this top performing fund.
Okay, if 2000 of the top hedge funds couldn't match our returns who could?
So I carried on perusing through BARRON'S looking for answers. It was there in the very same edition of BARRON’S that I ran across the results of the top 300 FUNDS of FUNDS.
Continue with Part II...
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